// Mock data for prediction market analytics prototype function genSeries(n, start, vol, drift) { const pts = [start]; for (let i = 1; i < n; i++) { const next = Math.max(2, Math.min(98, pts[i - 1] + (Math.random() - 0.5 + drift) * vol)); pts.push(Math.round(next * 10) / 10); } return pts; } export const MARKETS = [ { id: "fed-sep-cut", question: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", category: "Economics", status: "Active", resolves: "Sep 18, 2026", yesPrice: 71.4, change24h: 4.2, volume24h: 2840000, volumeTotal: 41200000, liquidity: 6120000, openInterest: 18400000, traders: 8340, yesSeries: genSeries(40, 55, 4, 0.06), noSeries: null, orderBook: { bids: [[71.0, 182000], [70.5, 240000], [70.0, 310000], [69.5, 198000], [69.0, 145000]], asks: [[71.5, 165000], [72.0, 221000], [72.5, 290000], [73.0, 176000], [73.5, 130000]] }, holders: [ { trader: "0xA13f…9c2", side: "Yes", size: 420000, value: 300000 }, { trader: "quant_owl", side: "Yes", size: 318000, value: 227000 }, { trader: "0x77Bd…41a", side: "No", size: 275000, value: 78600 }, { trader: "resolvr", side: "Yes", size: 210000, value: 150000 }, { trader: "0x9F02…c88", side: "No", size: 188000, value: 53700 } ], topTraders: ["quant_owl", "resolvr", "arb_meridian", "0xA13f…9c2"] }, { id: "btc-150k", question: "Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?", category: "Crypto", status: "Active", resolves: "Dec 31, 2026", yesPrice: 38.2, change24h: -2.8, volume24h: 5120000, volumeTotal: 88900000, liquidity: 11400000, openInterest: 34200000, traders: 21300, yesSeries: genSeries(40, 45, 5, -0.02), noSeries: null, orderBook: { bids: [[38.0, 410000], [37.5, 380000], [37.0, 512000], [36.5, 290000], [36.0, 210000]], asks: [[38.5, 390000], [39.0, 460000], [39.5, 330000], [40.0, 280000], [40.5, 190000]] }, holders: [ { trader: "satoshi_fan", side: "Yes", size: 890000, value: 340000 }, { trader: "0x4Ac1…d02", side: "No", size: 720000, value: 445000 }, { trader: "bot_delta_9", side: "No", size: 610000, value: 377000 }, { trader: "arb_meridian", side: "Yes", size: 540000, value: 206000 }, { trader: "0xE221…7b4", side: "Yes", size: 480000, value: 183000 } ], topTraders: ["satoshi_fan", "bot_delta_9", "arb_meridian", "0x4Ac1…d02"] }, { id: "ucl-winner", question: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", category: "Sports", status: "Active", resolves: "May 30, 2027", yesPrice: 22.6, change24h: 1.1, volume24h: 980000, volumeTotal: 14300000, liquidity: 3210000, openInterest: 7600000, traders: 5120, yesSeries: genSeries(40, 20, 3, 0.03), noSeries: null, orderBook: { bids: [[22.0, 92000], [21.5, 110000], [21.0, 88000], [20.5, 64000], [20.0, 51000]], asks: [[22.5, 87000], [23.0, 101000], [23.5, 76000], [24.0, 55000], [24.5, 40000]] }, holders: [ { trader: "resolvr", side: "Yes", size: 210000, value: 47000 }, { trader: "0xB901…5e3", side: "No", size: 198000, value: 153000 }, { trader: "quant_owl", side: "Yes", size: 155000, value: 35000 }, { trader: "farmer_jo", side: "Yes", size: 121000, value: 27000 } ], topTraders: ["resolvr", "quant_owl", "0xB901…5e3"] }, { id: "us-election-28", question: "Democratic candidate wins 2028 election?", category: "Politics", status: "Active", resolves: "Nov 7, 2028", yesPrice: 54.8, change24h: 0.6, volume24h: 3620000, volumeTotal: 61500000, liquidity: 9870000, openInterest: 28100000, traders: 14700, yesSeries: genSeries(40, 50, 3.5, 0.01), noSeries: null, orderBook: { bids: [[54.5, 260000], [54.0, 310000], [53.5, 220000], [53.0, 190000], [52.5, 140000]], asks: [[55.0, 245000], [55.5, 300000], [56.0, 210000], [56.5, 175000], [57.0, 120000]] }, holders: [ { trader: "0x2Ff8…a10", side: "Yes", size: 610000, value: 334000 }, { trader: "arb_meridian", side: "No", size: 540000, value: 244000 }, { trader: "night_owl_88", side: "Yes", size: 410000, value: 224000 }, { trader: "0xC450…9d1", side: "Yes", size: 380000, value: 208000 } ], topTraders: ["0x2Ff8…a10", "arb_meridian", "night_owl_88"] }, { id: "openai-ipo", question: "OpenAI IPOs before end of 2027?", category: "Business", status: "Active", resolves: "Dec 31, 2027", yesPrice: 16.9, change24h: -0.4, volume24h: 740000, volumeTotal: 9800000, liquidity: 2140000, openInterest: 5300000, traders: 3980, yesSeries: genSeries(40, 18, 2.5, -0.01), noSeries: null, orderBook: { bids: [[16.5, 61000], [16.0, 72000], [15.5, 58000], [15.0, 40000], [14.5, 33000]], asks: [[17.0, 55000], [17.5, 63000], [18.0, 47000], [18.5, 36000], [19.0, 28000]] }, holders: [ { trader: "bot_delta_9", side: "No", size: 310000, value: 258000 }, { trader: "0x9F02…c88", side: "Yes", size: 190000, value: 32000 }, { trader: "farmer_jo", side: "No", size: 140000, value: 116000 } ], topTraders: ["bot_delta_9", "0x9F02…c88"] }, { id: "fifa-worldcup", question: "Brazil wins 2026 FIFA World Cup?", category: "Sports", status: "Resolved · No", resolves: "Jul 19, 2026", yesPrice: 0, change24h: 0, volume24h: 0, volumeTotal: 27600000, liquidity: 0, openInterest: 0, traders: 19200, yesSeries: genSeries(40, 30, 5, 0.1).map((v,i,a)=> i>34 ? Math.max(0, 30 - (i-34)*6) : v), noSeries: null, orderBook: { bids: [], asks: [] }, holders: [ { trader: "night_owl_88", side: "No", size: 520000, value: 520000 }, { trader: "0xC450…9d1", side: "Yes", size: 300000, value: 0 } ], topTraders: ["night_owl_88", "0xC450…9d1"] } ]; export const TRADERS = [ { id: "quant_owl", handle: "quant_owl", wallet: "0x1a4F…88bC", traits: ["Arbitrage Bot", "High Volume"], joined: "Mar 2024", pnlRealized: 184200, pnlUnrealized: 32100, winRate: 68.4, volume: 4820000, avgPositionSize: 41200, activePositions: 14, pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 40, 6, 0.08), positions: [ { market: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", side: "Yes", size: 318000, entry: 62.1, current: 71.4, pnl: 29580, status: "Open" }, { market: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", side: "Yes", size: 155000, entry: 18.4, current: 22.6, pnl: 6510, status: "Open" }, { market: "US Presidential Election 2028", side: "No", size: 96000, entry: 48.2, current: 45.2, pnl: 2880, status: "Open" }, { market: "Bitcoin above $100k Jan 2026", side: "Yes", size: 210000, entry: 55.0, current: 100, pnl: 94500, status: "Resolved" } ], connectedWallets: ["0x88Ac…2f01", "0x5b0D…e410"] }, { id: "bot_delta_9", handle: "bot_delta_9", wallet: "0x5C90…14fA", traits: ["Trading Bot", "Resolution Farming"], joined: "Jan 2025", pnlRealized: 61400, pnlUnrealized: -8200, winRate: 54.1, volume: 12400000, avgPositionSize: 18300, activePositions: 62, pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 30, 3, 0.02), positions: [ { market: "Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?", side: "No", size: 610000, entry: 41.0, current: 38.2, pnl: 17080, status: "Open" }, { market: "OpenAI IPOs before end of 2027?", side: "No", size: 310000, entry: 84.2, current: 83.1, pnl: 3410, status: "Open" }, { market: "Brazil wins 2026 FIFA World Cup?", side: "No", size: 520000, entry: 71.0, current: 100, pnl: 150800, status: "Resolved" } ], connectedWallets: ["0x14fA…C90D", "0x77b2…9e11", "0x0021…aabc"] }, { id: "arb_meridian", handle: "arb_meridian", wallet: "0x902D…7Ac1", traits: ["Arbitrage Bot"], joined: "Aug 2023", pnlRealized: 402800, pnlUnrealized: 51200, winRate: 71.9, volume: 22100000, avgPositionSize: 68400, activePositions: 9, pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 60, 5, 0.05), positions: [ { market: "Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?", side: "Yes", size: 540000, entry: 30.5, current: 38.2, pnl: 41580, status: "Open" }, { market: "Democratic candidate wins 2028 election?", side: "No", size: 540000, entry: 47.0, current: 45.2, pnl: 9720, status: "Open" }, { market: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", side: "Yes", size: 180000, entry: 58.0, current: 71.4, pnl: 24120, status: "Open" } ], connectedWallets: [] }, { id: "resolvr", handle: "resolvr", wallet: "0xF001…22Cd", traits: ["Human", "Resolution Farming"], joined: "Nov 2024", pnlRealized: 92300, pnlUnrealized: 12800, winRate: 59.7, volume: 6740000, avgPositionSize: 27600, activePositions: 22, pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 35, 4, 0.03), positions: [ { market: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", side: "Yes", size: 210000, entry: 60.0, current: 71.4, pnl: 23940, status: "Open" }, { market: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", side: "Yes", size: 210000, entry: 15.2, current: 22.6, pnl: 15540, status: "Open" } ], connectedWallets: ["0x22Cd…F001"] }, { id: "night_owl_88", handle: "night_owl_88", wallet: "0x3E77…B420", traits: ["Human", "High Volume"], pnlRealized: 128900, pnlUnrealized: 4100, winRate: 62.2, volume: 9120000, avgPositionSize: 35200, activePositions: 11, pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 42, 4, 0.04), positions: [ { market: "Democratic candidate wins 2028 election?", side: "Yes", size: 410000, entry: 51.0, current: 54.8, pnl: 15580, status: "Open" }, { market: "Brazil wins 2026 FIFA World Cup?", side: "No", size: 520000, entry: 68.0, current: 100, pnl: 166400, status: "Resolved" } ], connectedWallets: [] }, { id: "farmer_jo", handle: "farmer_jo", wallet: "0xA210…6Bf0", traits: ["Human", "Resolution Farming"], pnlRealized: 21400, pnlUnrealized: -3100, winRate: 48.9, volume: 1840000, avgPositionSize: 9200, activePositions: 31, pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 20, 3, -0.01), positions: [ { market: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", side: "Yes", size: 121000, entry: 24.0, current: 22.6, pnl: -1690, status: "Open" }, { market: "OpenAI IPOs before end of 2027?", side: "No", size: 140000, entry: 80.0, current: 83.1, pnl: -4340, status: "Open" } ], connectedWallets: ["0x6Bf0…A210", "0x9021…4Ccb"] } ];