291 lines
10 KiB
JavaScript
291 lines
10 KiB
JavaScript
// Mock data for prediction market analytics prototype
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function genSeries(n, start, vol, drift) {
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const pts = [start];
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for (let i = 1; i < n; i++) {
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const next = Math.max(2, Math.min(98, pts[i - 1] + (Math.random() - 0.5 + drift) * vol));
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pts.push(Math.round(next * 10) / 10);
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}
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return pts;
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}
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export const MARKETS = [
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{
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id: "fed-sep-cut",
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question: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?",
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category: "Economics",
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status: "Active",
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resolves: "Sep 18, 2026",
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yesPrice: 71.4,
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change24h: 4.2,
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volume24h: 2840000,
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volumeTotal: 41200000,
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liquidity: 6120000,
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openInterest: 18400000,
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traders: 8340,
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yesSeries: genSeries(40, 55, 4, 0.06),
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noSeries: null,
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orderBook: {
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bids: [[71.0, 182000], [70.5, 240000], [70.0, 310000], [69.5, 198000], [69.0, 145000]],
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asks: [[71.5, 165000], [72.0, 221000], [72.5, 290000], [73.0, 176000], [73.5, 130000]]
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},
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holders: [
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{ trader: "0xA13f…9c2", side: "Yes", size: 420000, value: 300000 },
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{ trader: "quant_owl", side: "Yes", size: 318000, value: 227000 },
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{ trader: "0x77Bd…41a", side: "No", size: 275000, value: 78600 },
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{ trader: "resolvr", side: "Yes", size: 210000, value: 150000 },
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{ trader: "0x9F02…c88", side: "No", size: 188000, value: 53700 }
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],
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topTraders: ["quant_owl", "resolvr", "arb_meridian", "0xA13f…9c2"]
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},
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{
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id: "btc-150k",
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question: "Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?",
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category: "Crypto",
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status: "Active",
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resolves: "Dec 31, 2026",
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yesPrice: 38.2,
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change24h: -2.8,
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volume24h: 5120000,
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volumeTotal: 88900000,
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liquidity: 11400000,
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openInterest: 34200000,
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traders: 21300,
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yesSeries: genSeries(40, 45, 5, -0.02),
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noSeries: null,
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orderBook: {
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bids: [[38.0, 410000], [37.5, 380000], [37.0, 512000], [36.5, 290000], [36.0, 210000]],
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asks: [[38.5, 390000], [39.0, 460000], [39.5, 330000], [40.0, 280000], [40.5, 190000]]
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},
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holders: [
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{ trader: "satoshi_fan", side: "Yes", size: 890000, value: 340000 },
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{ trader: "0x4Ac1…d02", side: "No", size: 720000, value: 445000 },
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{ trader: "bot_delta_9", side: "No", size: 610000, value: 377000 },
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{ trader: "arb_meridian", side: "Yes", size: 540000, value: 206000 },
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{ trader: "0xE221…7b4", side: "Yes", size: 480000, value: 183000 }
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],
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topTraders: ["satoshi_fan", "bot_delta_9", "arb_meridian", "0x4Ac1…d02"]
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},
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{
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id: "ucl-winner",
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question: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?",
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category: "Sports",
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status: "Active",
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resolves: "May 30, 2027",
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yesPrice: 22.6,
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change24h: 1.1,
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volume24h: 980000,
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volumeTotal: 14300000,
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liquidity: 3210000,
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openInterest: 7600000,
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traders: 5120,
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yesSeries: genSeries(40, 20, 3, 0.03),
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noSeries: null,
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orderBook: {
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bids: [[22.0, 92000], [21.5, 110000], [21.0, 88000], [20.5, 64000], [20.0, 51000]],
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asks: [[22.5, 87000], [23.0, 101000], [23.5, 76000], [24.0, 55000], [24.5, 40000]]
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},
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holders: [
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{ trader: "resolvr", side: "Yes", size: 210000, value: 47000 },
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{ trader: "0xB901…5e3", side: "No", size: 198000, value: 153000 },
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{ trader: "quant_owl", side: "Yes", size: 155000, value: 35000 },
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{ trader: "farmer_jo", side: "Yes", size: 121000, value: 27000 }
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],
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topTraders: ["resolvr", "quant_owl", "0xB901…5e3"]
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},
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{
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id: "us-election-28",
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question: "Democratic candidate wins 2028 election?",
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category: "Politics",
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status: "Active",
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resolves: "Nov 7, 2028",
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yesPrice: 54.8,
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change24h: 0.6,
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volume24h: 3620000,
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volumeTotal: 61500000,
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liquidity: 9870000,
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openInterest: 28100000,
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traders: 14700,
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yesSeries: genSeries(40, 50, 3.5, 0.01),
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noSeries: null,
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orderBook: {
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bids: [[54.5, 260000], [54.0, 310000], [53.5, 220000], [53.0, 190000], [52.5, 140000]],
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asks: [[55.0, 245000], [55.5, 300000], [56.0, 210000], [56.5, 175000], [57.0, 120000]]
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},
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holders: [
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{ trader: "0x2Ff8…a10", side: "Yes", size: 610000, value: 334000 },
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{ trader: "arb_meridian", side: "No", size: 540000, value: 244000 },
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{ trader: "night_owl_88", side: "Yes", size: 410000, value: 224000 },
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{ trader: "0xC450…9d1", side: "Yes", size: 380000, value: 208000 }
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],
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topTraders: ["0x2Ff8…a10", "arb_meridian", "night_owl_88"]
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},
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{
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id: "openai-ipo",
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question: "OpenAI IPOs before end of 2027?",
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category: "Business",
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status: "Active",
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resolves: "Dec 31, 2027",
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yesPrice: 16.9,
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change24h: -0.4,
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volume24h: 740000,
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volumeTotal: 9800000,
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liquidity: 2140000,
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openInterest: 5300000,
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traders: 3980,
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yesSeries: genSeries(40, 18, 2.5, -0.01),
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noSeries: null,
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orderBook: {
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bids: [[16.5, 61000], [16.0, 72000], [15.5, 58000], [15.0, 40000], [14.5, 33000]],
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asks: [[17.0, 55000], [17.5, 63000], [18.0, 47000], [18.5, 36000], [19.0, 28000]]
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},
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holders: [
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{ trader: "bot_delta_9", side: "No", size: 310000, value: 258000 },
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{ trader: "0x9F02…c88", side: "Yes", size: 190000, value: 32000 },
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{ trader: "farmer_jo", side: "No", size: 140000, value: 116000 }
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],
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topTraders: ["bot_delta_9", "0x9F02…c88"]
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},
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{
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id: "fifa-worldcup",
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question: "Brazil wins 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
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category: "Sports",
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status: "Resolved · No",
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resolves: "Jul 19, 2026",
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yesPrice: 0,
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change24h: 0,
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volume24h: 0,
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volumeTotal: 27600000,
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liquidity: 0,
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openInterest: 0,
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traders: 19200,
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yesSeries: genSeries(40, 30, 5, 0.1).map((v,i,a)=> i>34 ? Math.max(0, 30 - (i-34)*6) : v),
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noSeries: null,
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orderBook: { bids: [], asks: [] },
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holders: [
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{ trader: "night_owl_88", side: "No", size: 520000, value: 520000 },
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{ trader: "0xC450…9d1", side: "Yes", size: 300000, value: 0 }
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],
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topTraders: ["night_owl_88", "0xC450…9d1"]
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}
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];
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export const TRADERS = [
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{
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id: "quant_owl",
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handle: "quant_owl",
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wallet: "0x1a4F…88bC",
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traits: ["Arbitrage Bot", "High Volume"],
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joined: "Mar 2024",
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pnlRealized: 184200,
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pnlUnrealized: 32100,
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winRate: 68.4,
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volume: 4820000,
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avgPositionSize: 41200,
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activePositions: 14,
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pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 40, 6, 0.08),
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positions: [
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{ market: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", side: "Yes", size: 318000, entry: 62.1, current: 71.4, pnl: 29580, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", side: "Yes", size: 155000, entry: 18.4, current: 22.6, pnl: 6510, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "US Presidential Election 2028", side: "No", size: 96000, entry: 48.2, current: 45.2, pnl: 2880, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Bitcoin above $100k Jan 2026", side: "Yes", size: 210000, entry: 55.0, current: 100, pnl: 94500, status: "Resolved" }
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],
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connectedWallets: ["0x88Ac…2f01", "0x5b0D…e410"]
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},
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{
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id: "bot_delta_9",
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handle: "bot_delta_9",
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wallet: "0x5C90…14fA",
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traits: ["Trading Bot", "Resolution Farming"],
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joined: "Jan 2025",
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pnlRealized: 61400,
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pnlUnrealized: -8200,
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winRate: 54.1,
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volume: 12400000,
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avgPositionSize: 18300,
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activePositions: 62,
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pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 30, 3, 0.02),
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positions: [
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{ market: "Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?", side: "No", size: 610000, entry: 41.0, current: 38.2, pnl: 17080, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "OpenAI IPOs before end of 2027?", side: "No", size: 310000, entry: 84.2, current: 83.1, pnl: 3410, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Brazil wins 2026 FIFA World Cup?", side: "No", size: 520000, entry: 71.0, current: 100, pnl: 150800, status: "Resolved" }
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],
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connectedWallets: ["0x14fA…C90D", "0x77b2…9e11", "0x0021…aabc"]
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},
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{
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id: "arb_meridian",
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handle: "arb_meridian",
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wallet: "0x902D…7Ac1",
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traits: ["Arbitrage Bot"],
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joined: "Aug 2023",
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pnlRealized: 402800,
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pnlUnrealized: 51200,
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winRate: 71.9,
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volume: 22100000,
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avgPositionSize: 68400,
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activePositions: 9,
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pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 60, 5, 0.05),
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positions: [
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{ market: "Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?", side: "Yes", size: 540000, entry: 30.5, current: 38.2, pnl: 41580, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Democratic candidate wins 2028 election?", side: "No", size: 540000, entry: 47.0, current: 45.2, pnl: 9720, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", side: "Yes", size: 180000, entry: 58.0, current: 71.4, pnl: 24120, status: "Open" }
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],
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connectedWallets: []
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},
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{
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id: "resolvr",
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handle: "resolvr",
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wallet: "0xF001…22Cd",
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traits: ["Human", "Resolution Farming"],
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joined: "Nov 2024",
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pnlRealized: 92300,
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pnlUnrealized: 12800,
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winRate: 59.7,
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volume: 6740000,
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avgPositionSize: 27600,
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activePositions: 22,
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pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 35, 4, 0.03),
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positions: [
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{ market: "Fed cuts rates at September meeting?", side: "Yes", size: 210000, entry: 60.0, current: 71.4, pnl: 23940, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", side: "Yes", size: 210000, entry: 15.2, current: 22.6, pnl: 15540, status: "Open" }
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],
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connectedWallets: ["0x22Cd…F001"]
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},
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{
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id: "night_owl_88",
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handle: "night_owl_88",
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wallet: "0x3E77…B420",
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traits: ["Human", "High Volume"],
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pnlRealized: 128900,
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pnlUnrealized: 4100,
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winRate: 62.2,
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volume: 9120000,
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avgPositionSize: 35200,
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activePositions: 11,
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pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 42, 4, 0.04),
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positions: [
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{ market: "Democratic candidate wins 2028 election?", side: "Yes", size: 410000, entry: 51.0, current: 54.8, pnl: 15580, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "Brazil wins 2026 FIFA World Cup?", side: "No", size: 520000, entry: 68.0, current: 100, pnl: 166400, status: "Resolved" }
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],
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connectedWallets: []
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},
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{
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id: "farmer_jo",
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handle: "farmer_jo",
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wallet: "0xA210…6Bf0",
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traits: ["Human", "Resolution Farming"],
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pnlRealized: 21400,
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pnlUnrealized: -3100,
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winRate: 48.9,
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volume: 1840000,
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avgPositionSize: 9200,
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activePositions: 31,
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pnlSeries: genSeries(30, 20, 3, -0.01),
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positions: [
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{ market: "Real Madrid win Champions League 2027?", side: "Yes", size: 121000, entry: 24.0, current: 22.6, pnl: -1690, status: "Open" },
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{ market: "OpenAI IPOs before end of 2027?", side: "No", size: 140000, entry: 80.0, current: 83.1, pnl: -4340, status: "Open" }
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],
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connectedWallets: ["0x6Bf0…A210", "0x9021…4Ccb"]
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}
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];
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